中国农村绿色发展水平:时空特征、空间扩散与收敛效应*
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华中农业大学公共管理学院

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The level of green development in rural China:spatio-temporal characteristic, spatial diffusion and convergence effect
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School of Public Administration, Huazhong Agricultural University

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    摘要:

    探究农村绿色发展水平时空演变及其扩散和收敛效应对实现农业农村绿色发展、助力乡村振兴战略具有重要意义。该研究构建农村绿色发展评价体系,采用全局主成分分析法测度2006—2017年中国30个省级行政区农村绿色发展值。分别采用可视化制图、描述性统计分析刻画农村绿色发展水平值时序特征、空间格局和区域差异,进而采用空间自相关、空间收敛模型分析农村绿色发展的空间扩散和空间收敛效应。研究结果表明:1)研究期内中国农村绿色发展水平整体呈加速上升趋势,年均增长14.53%,呈“东高西低、中部居中”空间格局,呈“低水平、低差距”向“高水平、高差距”转变时序特征。2)研究期内农村绿色发展水平空间扩散效应显著为正。“高—高”“低—低”集聚数量多于“高—低”“低—高”区。“高—高”集聚多分布在东南沿海,“低—低”集聚区多集中在中部地区。

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    : It is of great significance to explore the spatial and temporal evolution of rural green development level and its diffusion and convergence effects to realize agricultural and rural green development and help rural revitalization strategy. This study constructed an evaluation system for rural green development, and used global principal component analysis (PCA) to measure the value of rural green development in 30 provincial-level administrative regions of China from 2006 to 2017. Visual mapping and descriptive statistical analysis were used to describe the temporal characteristics, spatial patterns and regional differences of rural green development level values, and then spatial autocorrelation and spatial convergence models were used to analyze the spatial diffusion and spatial convergence effects of rural green development. The results show that: 1) During the study period, the overall green development level of rural areas in China showed an accelerating trend, with an average annual growth rate of 14.53%, showing a spatial pattern of "higher in the east and lower in the west, and middle in the middle", and a temporal character of transformation from "low level and low gap" to "high level and high gap". 2) The spatial diffusion effect of rural green development level was significantly positive during the study period. The number of "high-high" and "low-low" clusters is more than that of "high-low" and "low-high" clusters. The "high-high" cluster is mostly distributed in the southeast coastal area, while the "low-low" cluster is mostly concentrated in the central area. 3) The convergence effect of rural green development occurs in the whole country and other regions except the central region. The spatial absolute β convergence coefficient showed the characteristics of eastern (β=-0.127) > western (β=-0.080) > central (β=-0.016), and the convergence rate showed the characteristics of eastern (1.23%) > western (0.76%) > central (0.15%). Under the joint influence of urbanization rate, per capita GDP, proportion of science and technology expenditure, and rural social retail, rural green development converges to its own steady level. There are significant differences in the direction and degree of each factor in the whole country and each region. The research results have guiding significance for deepening the research of rural green development, and can also provide decision support for narrowing the gap in rural development.

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姚青,张亦驰,李祥,刘蒙罢,胡银根.中国农村绿色发展水平:时空特征、空间扩散与收敛效应*[J].农业工程学报,,(). yaoqing, zhang yichi, li xiang, liu mengba, hu yingen. The level of green development in rural China:spatio-temporal characteristic, spatial diffusion and convergence effect[J]. Transactions of the Chinese Society of Agricultural Engineering (Transactions of the CSAE),,().

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  • 收稿日期:2022-09-09
  • 最后修改日期:2023-04-12
  • 录用日期:2023-04-18
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