月尺度IMERG降水产品在广西的精度评估
DOI:
作者:
作者单位:

广西农业科学院农业科技信息研究所

作者简介:

通讯作者:

中图分类号:

P339

基金项目:


Accuracy Evaluation of Monthly IMERG Precipitation Products in Guangxi
Author:
Affiliation:

Guangxi Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Agricultural Science and Technology Information Research Institute

Fund Project:

  • 摘要
  • |
  • 图/表
  • |
  • 访问统计
  • |
  • 参考文献
  • |
  • 相似文献
  • |
  • 引证文献
  • |
  • 资源附件
  • |
  • 文章评论
    摘要:

    为评估月尺度IMERG(V06)降水产品在广西的精度,以91个观测站2001-2020年逐月降水量为参考,采用相关系数CC、均方根误差RMSE和相对偏差RE三个定量指标,将广西划为少雨区(年均降水量<1300mm,Ⅰ区)、中雨区(年均降水量1300-1700mm,Ⅱ区)、多雨区(年均降水量>1700mm,Ⅲ区)三个区域,从空间、时间、变化趋势等角度分析IMERG产品的精度特征。结果发现:1)整体上,IMERG产品与观测数据相关性较强但离散度较高,Final产品精度优于Early、Late产品,Early与Late产品精度相似;Final产品高估月降水量,Early、Late产品低估月降水量。2)空间上,各系列产品的CC、RMSE均在Ⅲ区最高,区域降水越多相关性越强,同时离散度增加;在Ⅰ、Ⅱ区高估降水,在Ⅲ区低估降水,Final产品相比Early、Late产品在Ⅰ、Ⅱ区高估程度更高,而在Ⅲ区低估程度更低。3)时间上,Early、Late产品在1-2月、4-6月和12月相关性较低,4-9月离散度较大,雨季(4-9月)相较旱季(10月-次年3月)相关性更大但离散度增加,在3-5月高估降水,9-11月低估降水;Final产品4-9月相关性低且离散度大,雨季精度不及旱季,各月在Ⅰ、Ⅱ区均高估降水,Ⅲ区中只在1月和10月高估降水,其余月份均低估降水;IMERG产品在旱年精度更高。4)精度变化上,在0-300mm降水量区间呈下降趋势,估测偏差由高估向低估发展;随年份增长,产品精度出现下降趋势,估测偏差愈发趋向高估。月尺度IMERG产品在广西具有较高的精度,但在不同时段、不同区域存在较大差异,应用时需针对具体时间区域开展评估。

    Abstract:

    For evaluating the accuracy of monthly IMERG (V06) precipitation products in Guangxi, utilizing monthly precipitation from 91 observation stations from 2001 to 2020 as reference, employed three quantitative indicators - Correlation Coefficient (CC), Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), and Relative Error (RE), and divided Guangxi into three zones: arid zone (mean annual precipitation <1300mm, Zone I), moderate precipitation zone (mean annual precipitation 1300-1700mm, Zone II), and rainy zone (mean annual precipitation >1700mm, Zone III), analyzed the accuracy characteristics of IMERG products from the perspectives of spatial, temporal, and changing trends. The results showed that: 1) Overall, IMERG products show strong correlation but high dispersion with observed data, the accuracy of Final product is better than Early and Late product, and the accuracy of Early and Late product is similar; Final product overestimate monthly precipitation, while Early and Late product underestimate monthly precipitation. 2) In terms of spatial distribution, the CC and RMSE of all series products are highest in Zone III, greater correlation and higher dispersion occur in areas with more precipitation; Precipitation is overestimated in Zones I and II, and underestimated in Zone III, the Final product has a higher overestimation in Zones I and II compared to Early and Late product, while the underestimation is lower in Zone III. 3) In terms of temporal, Early and Late product have lower correlation in January, February, April, May, June, and December, with higher dispersion from April to September, rainy season (April-September) show greater correlation and higher dispersion compared to dry season (October to the following March), overestimation of precipitation occurs in March-May, while underestimation occurs in September-November; Final product have lower correlation and higher dispersion in April to September, accuracy in rainy season is lower than dry season, precipitation is overestimated in zones I and II in all months; in Zone III, precipitation is only overestimated in January and October, while the rest are underestimated; IMERG products have higher accuracy in dry years. 4) In terms of accuracy variation, a decreasing trend appear in the 0-300mm precipitation range, with the estimation error shifting from overestimation to underestimation; As the years increase, accuracy shows a decreasing trend, with the estimation error tends to be overestimated. Monthly IMERG products show high accuracy in Guangxi, but there are significant differences in different periods and regions, evaluation is necessary for specific time and area during application.

    参考文献
    相似文献
    引证文献
引用本文

杨绍锷.月尺度IMERG降水产品在广西的精度评估[J].农业工程学报,,(). Yang Shaoe. Accuracy Evaluation of Monthly IMERG Precipitation Products in Guangxi[J]. Transactions of the Chinese Society of Agricultural Engineering (Transactions of the CSAE),,().

复制
分享
文章指标
  • 点击次数:
  • 下载次数:
  • HTML阅读次数:
  • 引用次数:
历史
  • 收稿日期:2024-03-14
  • 最后修改日期:2024-08-23
  • 录用日期:2024-08-29
  • 在线发布日期:
  • 出版日期:
文章二维码
您是第位访问者
ICP:京ICP备06025802号-3
农业工程学报 ® 2024 版权所有
技术支持:北京勤云科技发展有限公司